Thursday, 6 February 2020

does the tobacco redesign work?



over the last two decades, there has been a decline in alcohol consumption it has fallen from 1.397 in 2000 to 1.337 in 2018. this would mean that there is about 60 million fewer people that consume tobacco according to the World Health Organization. The main reason for the decline is the number of females that smoke, whilst men went up for a while but is on the way down. (346 million in 2000 down to 244 million in 2018, or a fall over around 100 million).

as the regulation of tobacco packaging, ASH published this article showcasing some attitudes about the new packaging, they also referenced a survey done in the North East that showcased these opinions from smokers:  
• 60% thought they looked less attractive
• 51% noticed the health warnings more
• 29% prompted thoughts about quitting
• 29% made them wish they didn’t smoke
• 26% less likely to look forward to their next cigarette
• 23% less likely to take their pack out in front of friends and family 

Newcastle-based small retailer John McClurey said:
“I don’t enjoy selling tobacco, but I do it because my customers ask for it. I’ve been really cheered by the number of customers coming in recently telling me they’re thinking of quitting because smoking cigarettes from the standardized packs with large and off-putting images on the front aren’t as enjoyable, they just don’t taste as good. I will be putting leaflets out for our local stop smoking service as I know smokers' chances of quitting will be improved if they get help.”
https://ash.org.uk/media-and-news/press-releases-media-and-news/evidence-grows-that-standardised-plain-tobacco-packaging-reduces-smoking-rates/

there is no definitive research on whether standardized packaging works, there is done research on people's attitudes to the standardized packagings. whether if the redesign works and leads to fewer people smoking is unclear. There is done research in Australia on the standardized packaging as they introduced it in 2012, this research does not give a clear answer, even though some articles angle it to have got that. There is no definitive answer to whether it works. 




there was a decline in 2017 when they introduced the new packaging but there was an increase of snus which is another tobacco-based product. 


i might change it from Belarus to Russia if I'm gonna compare them 
https://www.oecd.org/health/


From 2005 to 2012, the number of middle-aged smokers in Japan decreased from 30,5% to 24,3%. out of the variables and changes the main change was the price. as the price of tobacco went up by up to 37% in that time period in the most drastic time.  
https://tobaccocontrol.bmj.com/content/26/1/69

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